PROFESSOR DAVID GRIFFITHS PRESENTED THE ANNUAL KNIBBS LECUTRE HELD ON 27 NOVEMBER 2012 AT ANU.
"The thrown coin: who gives a toss? Adventures in the design of the golden die and in binary regression" David Griffiths.
Professor David Griffiths gave an in depth summary of George Handly Knibbs' life and time as well as a topic talk. You can read more on the talk as recounted by Ray Lindsay.
INCLUSION OF MOBILE TELEPHONE NUMBERS INTO NEW SOUTH WALES POPULATION HEALTH SURVEYS
CSSM welcomes 2 new staff members
CSSM's capacity for research and consulting in survey and social statistics methodology has increased significantly with the appointment of Walter Davis as a Senior Research Fellow. Walter Davis has over 25 years experience in statistical consulting and the design and analysis of complex surveys. Originally from the US, Walt began his career at the University of North Carolina as a Health Data Analyst at the Odum Institute for Research in Social Science. He provided statistical advice across the social sciences and taught several short courses. His work with health data spawned an interest in the design and analysis of complex surveys.
Walt then became Research Director for the University's Centre for Community Capitalism, a housing policy research centre. He managed and designed a longitudinal survey of low-income homeowners to evaluate he success of a targeted mortgage lending programme and to assess the impact of homeownership on low-income families. He also provided the statistical expertise for a series of analytical projects, most importantly an analysis of the performance of millions of subprime mortgages.
For the last seven years, Walt has served as a Principal Methodologist and strategic advice across the organisation. He focused on the social survey programme, particularly the longitudinal Survey of Family, Income and Employment and the short-and medium-term impact of the Christchurch earthquake on the survey process. He engaged in research on the analysis of linked data, business survey non-response and the measurement properties of a widely-used health scale. Walt was also heavily involved in the coordination of methodological research and the planning and teaching of the department's statistical training.
Walt has a MA in Sociology from the University of North Carolina and a BA from Carleton College. He as published articles in the Australian and New Zealand Journal of Public Health, Housing Policy Debates, the American Journal of Sociology, Sociological Methods and Research and Structural Equation Modeling among others. Walt is an Associate Editor of the Statistical Journal of the IAOS.
Dr Simon Diffey recently joined CSSM based in the School of Mathematical and Applied Statistics as a Research Fellow. This position is part funded by a Grains Research Development Corporation (GRDC) project titled "Statistics for the Australin Grains Industry (SAGI)" which is led by Professor Brian Cullis and is worth $6M over 5 years. This project will deliver statistical support and training, develop innovative statistical technologies and statistical software to the grains industry of Australia. Simon is also project leader of a project titled "Statistics for the Australian Pork Industry (SAPI)" which provides statistical support to sub-programme 4B of the CRC for Hight Integrity Australian Pork (HIAP).
Prior to joining UoW, Simon worked for 10 years as a consulting biometrician in the NSW Department of Primary Industries. In this role most of Simon's work related to the grains industry in some way. Examples include the design and analysis of plant variety trials, quantitative trait loci (QTL) experiments, and grain intake and digestibility animal experiements. Simon's research interests arise from problems encountered in his statistical consulting role. He has recently submitted a PhD thesis titled "A new REML(PX)EM algorithm for linear mixed models and factor analytic mixed models". An outcome of this work is to broaden and improve the types of algorithms which can be parctically applied to the analysis of plant imporvement data.
Associate Professor Anne Porter is a member of two teams recently winning approval for grant applications under the University of Wollongong's 2012 Educational Strategies Development Fund.
The first grant is titled "Motivating Engineering students to develop Mathematics and Statistical skills and concepts". This project seeks to develop video based teaching resources for Engineering students completing their core mathematics and statistics subject MATH283. The motivational clips are to address the use of statistics and mathematics within Engineering, while video worked examples will be used to support student learning in difficult of topic areas.
The second grant is titled "Embedded Mathematics Learning Support at 200 level". This project aims to develop staff teamwork and expertise in the creation and use of video learning support resources for second year mathematics, which will also form part of an embedded online learning support initiative for two subjects. This will lead to development of a second learning support offering an online Head-Start program similar to those successfully trialled at the first year level.
For further information, please contact Anne Porter via email at firstname.lastname@example.org
Three CSSM students were awarded their PhD
The Centre would like to congratulate (Left to right) Dr Klairung Samart , Dr Mohammad Reza Namazi Rad and Dr Heni Puspaningrum, who were awarded their PhD awards at the Graduation ceremony held on July 18, 2012.
Congratulations and best wishes on your future endeavors!!
Associate Professor Anne Porter appointed to the JULTP Editorial Board
Associate Professor Anne Porter, a member of CSSM, has recently been appoint to the Editorial Board of the Journal of University Learning and Teaching Practice (JULTP). Anne's appointment is until June 2014. The Journal has had an increasing impact in recent years, since its launch in August 2004. The Journal is a national, bi-annual, peer-reviewed journal publishing papers that add significantly to the body of knowledge describing effective and innovative teaching and learning practice in the higher education environment. JULTP is hosted by the University of Wollongong.
The Journal was launched in an attempt to address a gap in publications in the higher education sector. There was a growing acknowledgement that teaching and learning at University had changed dramatially over the past 20 years. Students entering University now come from much broader range of backgrounds. Many have to work to support their study and all are expected to develop lifelong learning skills. University teachers have had to cope with these changes by developing a range of skills that encompass supporting diversity, flexible methods of delivery and more varied approaches to assessment. A search of journal titles worldwide could not identify a publication that covers learning and teaching practice at a University level.
Three minute thesis competion
The Faculty round of the three minute Thesis competions was won by Sarah Neville, a third year CSSM PhD student in Statistics. Her presentation "Making Sense of Big Data" beat out tough competion from the other schools within the faculty. Sarah now progresses to the University round of the competion, where she hopes to do the School of Mathematics and Applied Statistics and the Centre for Statistical and Survey Methodology proud. Good luck Sarah!!!
Success with ESDF grants
Educational Strategies Development Fund (ESDF) grants are awarded to academic and general staff for nominated projects that promote the strategic development of the University's learning and teaching. The ESDF grants provide an ideal opportunity for those who have an excellent idea to improve learning and teaching but require additional resources to accomplish it.
CSSM Lecturer Dr Carole Birrell and Dr Caz Sandison from SMAS, along with Dr Tricia Forrester from the Faculty of Education, were successful in receiving grant funding for "Development of multiple choice resources for pre-service primary teachers to deepen conceptual understanding of mathematics content knowledge".
This project aims to improve the poor conceptual understanding of mathematics and statistics held by many pre-service teachers. Research has shown that many pre-service primary teachers hold similar misunderstanding of mathematical concepts as primary students and are anxious about studying mathematics and statistics. Once practicing teachers, they are likely to engage in mathematics avoidance behaviors and ineffective teaching methods. This project aims to deepen pre-service primary teachers' conceptual understanding of mathematics and statistics using carefully constructed multiple choice questions, thereby building confidence, reducing anxiety and improving attitudes to teaching mathematics and statistics to primary students. This endeavors to ensure that the next generation of primary school students receives the necessary tuition in mathematical education.
Professor Brian Cullis appointed chair of International Biometrics Committee
The XXVIIth International Biometric Conference will be held in Florence, Italy, 2014 and Professor Brian Cullis has been appointed as chair of International Program Committee as well as a member of the Local Organising Committee.
The biennial conference is a highlight in world biometrics, with eminent international speakers, involving Special Invited Sessions from the ISI (International Statistical Institute), showcases for Young Statisticians, Biometrics and JABES, many other sessions presenting contributed talks, and a workshop.
Professor Brian Cullis' International Program Committee will be responsible for the planning and direction of the scientific facets of the conference. His role as a memberof the Local Organising Committee, will be responsible for the planning and direcion of all non-scientific program facets of the conference including selection of venue and finances. These roles have a close working relationship and are crucial to the planning and delivery of the conference.
The webpage for the 2014 conference has not yet been published. But for more information concerning the conference, please refer to the International Biometric Society homepage or the homepage for the upcoming conference in Kobe, Japan later this year.
IBS homepage - http://www.biometricsociety.org/
Conference homepage - http://secretariat.ne.jp/ibc2012/index.html
Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Sample Surveys
CSSM members Ray Chambers and David Steel have collaborated with colleagues Suojin Wang from Texas A&M University and Alan Welsh from the Australian National University to produce a book on Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Sample Surveys, which has recently been published by CRC press.
Sample surveys provide data used by researchers in a large range of disciplines to analyse important relationships using well-established and widely-used likelihood methods. The methods used to select samples often result in the sample differing in important ways from the target population and standard application of likelihood methods can lead to biased and inefficient estimates. Maximum Likelihood Estimation for Sample Surveys presents an overview of likelihood methods for the analysis of sample survey data that account for the selection methods used, and includes all necessary background material on likelihood inference. It covers a range of data types including multilevel data, and is illustrated by many worked examples using tractable and widely-used models. It also discusses more advanced topics, such as combining data, non-response, and informative sampling.
Further details can be found at: http://www.crcpress.com/product/isbn/9781584886327?utm_source=WhatCounts+Publicaster+Edition&utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=DZL17-2_Stat_Theory_JK&utm_content=Maximum+Likelihood+Estimation+for+Sample+Surveys
Reviewing Census Options in the UK
CSSM Director David Steel has been appointed as an expert reviewer in an advisory panel to provide quality assurance and methodological advice to the UK Office for National Statistics "Beyond 2011" programme. The UK Statistics Authority set up "Beyond 2011" in April 2011 to investigate and assess alternative options for producing the population and socio-demographic data required by users in England and Wales, including those that are currently delivered by the decennial census. This work will include testing models for the use of administrative and survey data as an alternative to the UK's traditional census approach. "Beyond 2011" will provide a recommendation to the UK Parliament in 2014 on the way forward for the collection of population and socio-demographic statistics, following a period of in-depth research and evaluation across a range of statistical options.
Further information about the programme is available here: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ons/about-ons/what-we-do/programmes---projects/beyond-2011/index.html
Award winning book from Distinguished Professor Noel Cressie
Released in 2011, Distinguished Professor Noel Cressie in conjunction with Christopher K. Wikle published "Statistics for Spatio-Temporal Data", a major text in the sphere of Spatial Statistics and Environmental Statistics. The book won the 2011 PROSE Award for Professional and Scholarly Excellence in the Mathematics Category, from the Association of American Publishers.
The book incorporates ideas from the areas of time series and spatial statistics as well as stochastic processes. Beginning with separate treatments of temporal data and spatial data, the book combines these concepts to discuss spatio-temporal statistical methods for understanding complex processes.
This is a state-of-the-art presentation of spatio-temporal processes, bridging classic ideas with modern hierarchical statistical modeling concepts and the latest computational methods. From understanding environmental processes and climate trends to developing new technologies for mapping public-health data and the spread of invasive-species, there is a high demand for statistical analyses of data that take spatial, temporal, and spatio-temporal information into account. Statistics for Spatio-Temporal Data presents a systematic approach to key quantitative techniques that incorporate the latest advances in statistical computing as well as hierarchical, particularly Bayesian, statistical modeling, with an emphasis on dynamical spatio-temporal models.
The book is suitable for graduate students, professional sttaisticians, and researchers and practicioners in the field of applied mathematics, engineering, and the environmental and health sciences.
Arthur Gilmour receives ALF award
Dr Arthur Gilmour, a Principal Research Fellow with the Centre for Statistical and Survey Methodology, was recognised at the Regional Conference of the International Biometric Society's; nicknamed 'Biometrics by the Blowholes'; in Kiama at the Conference dinner on 7 December 2011.
Dr Gilmour, along with Professor Susan Wilson each received the inaugural ALF award for their long time service to the society and to the biometrics profession. The ALF award is named after and in honour of the region's first vice-president E.A (Alf) Cornish.
Professor Brian Cullis presented the tribute speech to Arthur Gilmour, whilst Professor Alan Welsh from ANU presented the tribute to the other winner of the ALF award, Professor Susan Wilson. The recipients each received a pewter goblet as a gift for their recognition.
Presentation of the ALF award to Susan Wilson and Arthur Gilmour: with gifts L to R; Arthur Gilmour, Brian Cullis, Mario D'Antuono, Sue Wilson and Alan Welsh.
Photogragh courtesy of IBS members Hans Hockey and Harold Henderson.
New Book Release - An Introduction to Model-Based Survey Sampling with Applications
Ray Chambers and Robert Clark, have published a new book titled "An Introduction to Model-Based Survey Sampling with Applications".
This text brings together important ideas on the model-based approach to sample survey, which has been developed over the last twenty years. Suitable for graduate students and professional statisticians, it moves from basic ideas fundamental to sampling to more rigorous mathematical modelling and data analysis and includes exercises and solutions. For further details of the content please click here
Associate Professor Yan-Xia Lin presents paper at 10th Asia-Pacific Bioinformatics Conference
Associate Professor Yan-Xia Lin attended the 10th Asia Pacific Bioinformatics Conference (APBC2012) in Melbourne, Australia, from 17 to 19 January 2012. The conference received 129 submissions from authors of 16 countries included a large number of high-quality papers in genomic analysis, protein interaction, regulatory network studies and supporting web resources. Among those papers, 43 papers are accepted for presentation in conference. The paper Yan-Xia presented is "The algorithm of equal accceptance region for detecting copy number alterations: application to next generation sequencing data".
Bioinformatics is the application of statistics, computer science and information technology to the field of biology and medicine. The research in Bioinformatics has rapidly developed recently. Statistics has become more and more important in Bioinformatics, particularly, developing new statistical methods for analysing large data sets.
Bioinformatics has strong impact on human health. Research on DNA copy number is an example. Copy number variations (CNV) are alterations of the DNA of a genome that results in the cell having an abnormal number of copies of one or more sections of the DNA. Some CNVs have been associated with susceptibility or resistance to disease. To accurately estimate CNVs based on copy number information provided by genome sequence is a job for statisticians.
Two popular technologies are used to obtain copy number information from genome sequences. One is the Array-Comparative Genomic Hybridization (aCGH) technology and the other is Next Generation Sequencing technology. The next generation sequencing technology tends to provide less random noise on copy number observations if the depth of sequencing data is enough. This technology is potentially powerful alternative to aCGH for identifying genomic structural variations. However, producing sequencing data is expensive currently. Yan-Xia, in her paper, provides an algorithm. By using the algorithm, a data analyser is able to identify a sufficient depth for sequencing data before any sequencing data are produced. A set of sequencing data with the depth will contain sufficient information to ensure the quality of copy number analysis preset b the data analyser.
Continuing the Collaborative Agreement between Australian Bureau of Statistics and the University of Wollongong
The Collaborative Agreement between the Centre for Statistical and Survey Methodology (CSSM) at the University of Wollongong and the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) began in December 2004 and in March 2006 resulted in the appointment of Ray Chambers as the first Professor of Statistical Methodology - a position funded by ABS. The ABS is very pleased to announce that it has signed a new collaborative agreement that extends funding of the position from March 2011 until March 2014.
Since his appointment, Professor Chambers, working together with the Director of CSSM, Professor David Steel, has improved the skills of ABS methodologists, by questioning the status-quo, encouraging innovation, and by encouraging the development of sound and defensible methods. He has achieved this through annual symposia, courses, mentorship, collaborations, workshops and membership of the ABS' Methodology Advisory Committee. In particular, Professor Chambers' leadership in developing methods of analysing data that are probabilistically-linked, an area of strategic importance to ABS, has been particularly beneficial. Frank Yu, head of the ABS's Methodology and Data Management Division believes that the work of the Centre has significantly enhanced the capacity of ABS staff in conducting methodological research and improving the rigour of ABS's methodological design.
While the elements of the new agreement are essentially unchanged, it puts more emphasis on long term collaborations. The first collaborative project is to develop a framework that uses para-data, or data collected during the survey collection process, to improve responses rates. Professor Chambers is continuing to work on analysis of probabilistically-linked data and will also work on likelihood methods for combining data, another area of strategic importance to ABS. A successful symposium on Robust Regression was held on October 2011. The next symposium is scheduled for October 2012 and will cover Analysis of Longitudinal Data. For more information, please contact Dr James Chipperfield on (02) 6252 7301.
Continuous Health Information for New Zealand with the help of Wollongong's Statistics Research Strength
University of Wollongong Statisticians will be providing statistical research and advice on the NZ Ministry of Health's population health monitoring surveys. A two-year research contract from 2011-2013 for approximately AUD$200,000 has just been signed, building on successful 2006-2011 collaboration agreements. A/Prof. Robert Clark regularly visits Wellington to collaborate with Ministry researchers.
UoW will be particularly involved in the design and analysis of a new continuous NZ Health Survey. Many countries have national health surveys run every 2 or 3 years as large one-off exercises. NZ Ministry of Health is pioneering an innovative approach where the survey will be continuously in the field, with the possibility of producing statistics as often as quarterly. The new survey, starting in mid 2011, will also save on development and infrastructure costs by avoiding a large setup cost every few years. It will allow particular topics, such as Maori health, to be analysed using data pooled over time, so as to give the best balance of precision and timeliness. Specific question modules, such as problem gambling and alcohol and drug use, will be slotted in and out of the survey over time.
This new contract builds on a theme of collaboration with NZ organisations, including an ARC linkage project with the Ministry of Health and other partners, the conduct of several reviews for the Ministry of Justice, and three research projects funded by Statistics NZ's Official Statistics Research scheme. UoW's Centre for Statistical and Survey Methodology also have major contracts and linkage projects with Australian organisations, including the Australian Bureau of Statistics, NSW Health, the Grains Research and Development Corporation, the Australian Rain Corporation and the Australian Market and Social Research Society.
Link to Ministry of Health New Zealand website.
(Left to Right) Robert Templeton, Principal Technical Specialist, Health and Disability Intelligence Unit NZ and Associate Professor Robert Clark
Associate Professor Robert Clark recently delivered the 2011 Ken Foreman Lecture in Canberra
Associate Professor Robert Clark of UoW's Centre for Statistical and Survey Methodology recently delivered the annual invited Ken Forman Lecture, at ABS House in Canberra. This annual invited lecture honours Ken Foreman, who pioneered the use of mathematical statistics in Australian governement surveys, including the introduction of sampling (as opposed to censuses which had predominated), and the use of time series analysis of official statistics. The invitation to give this high profile talk was a great honour, particularly as Robert and Professors David Steel and Ray Chambers all benefited from Ken Foreman's legacy, and David and Ray both worked with Ken early in their careers.
Robert spoke on the Art and Science of Sample Design. The sample design is a plan for selecting a sample of units to be surveyed. Choice of a sample design has been expressed mathematically as an optimisation problem, but developing a sampling plan in practice is as much a craft as a science. Complications which need to be considered include balancing multiple objectives, imperfect design information, the practicalities of administering the survey by interview or other means, and incompleteness or inaccuracy of the sampling frame. Some of the current trends in household and business survey sample design were also reviewed. Robert also presented his new research on "data-driven sample designs", which make the most of imprecise design data.
There was a lively discussion led by discussants Alistair Rogers of the Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) and Ian McDermid of the Australian National University. The ABS have requested further discussions and a repeat seminar to explore the applicability of this work to ABS sample designs.
Distinguished Professor Noel Cressie Joins CSSM in 2012
Distinguished Professor Noel Cressie is to join the Centre for Statistical and Survey Methodology in 2012.
Professor Cressie is a world-leading researcher in statistical modelling and analysis of spatial and spatio-temporal data, in Bayesian and empirical-Bayesian methods, and in environmental sciences. The methodology has been applied in areas of "big science", such as remote sensing of the earth on a global scale, regional climate modelling in space and time, and Bayesian statistical exposure modeling from sources to biomarkers. Other research areas include spatial command and control, disease mapping, medical imaging, and ice-stream dynamics.
Noel was born in Fremantle, Western Australia. He received a Bachelor of Science degree with first class honours in Mathematics from the University of Western Australia and MA and PhD degrees in Statistics from Princeton University.
He is currently Professor of Statistics, Distinguished Professor of Mathematical and Physical Sciences, and Director of the Program in Spatial Statistics and Environmental Statistics at The Ohio State University. He was previously Professor of Statistics and Distinguished Professor in Liberal Arts and Sciences at lowa State University.
Noel is the author of around 250 refereed articles and of three books, including Statistics for Spatial Data, revised edition, 1993.
Professor Cressie is a Fellow of the American Statistical Association, the Institute of Mathematical Statistics, and the Spatial Econometrics Association. He is also and Elected Member of the International Statistical Institute. Other honors include: being awarded the Distinguished Achievement Medal of ASA's Section on Statistics and the Environment; the Twentieth Century Distinguished Service Award in Environmental Statistics; the Distinguished Scholar Award of The Ohio State University; and the 2009 Fisher Award and Lectureship from the Committee of Presidents of Statistical Societies. He is on the Institute for Scientific Information's (ISI) elite list of highly cited researchers.
Director of CSSM, Professor David Steel said "This is a fantastic appointment for us and will continue the development of our strong research capacity in Applied Statistics".
UoW news release article can be viewed here